Friday, May 07, 2010

And the Winner Is...

Yesterday, UK voters came out in droves to vote in their first national elections since 2005 and the winner is...

Well, let's just say that the British Elections are like our 2000 U.S. Presidential Election Redux. It's like deja vu all over again. The Conservative Party needs to gain an absolute majority in Parliament (326 seats) to form a government on their own. The vote counting lasted long into the night, along with reports and complaints of long lines at polling places and masses of people being turned away (again, similar to our 2000 election).

Check out the BBC's live feed for the latest results, vote count, and news: http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/shared/election2010/liveevent/

Most recent estimates have the Conservatives at 305 seats, Labour at 258, and the Liberal Democrats (a third, center-left party) at 57 seats. The Conservatives are just shy of a majority, and will need the support of the Liberal Democrats to form a coalition government, a phenomenon that Britain (a country that prides itself on stable governance unlike its neighbors in Europe that often see coalitions form and governments fail routinely) has not witnessed in several decades.

It is disappointing that the Conservatives under-performed considering the weakness of the British economy, the unpopularity of Gordon Brown, and a wave of scandals that have plagued the Labour party, but it is worth noting that Labour suffered it's worse showing since 1931. Based on current estimates, Labour ranks in the House of Commons will be reduced from 341 to 258, a net loss of 83 seats, while the Conservatives will increase their share from 193 to 305-307 seats, a net gain of 112-114 seats. And despite the buzz over Liberal Democrat candidate for Prime Minister Nick Clegg's performance at the debates and the possibility that his party would make its strongest showing ever, the final results demonstrated that the opinion polls were not to be trusted: the Liberal Democrats will actually lose 6 seats in Parliament, falling from 63 seats to 57.

Despite the outcome of a hung Parliament, the shift to the right in the UK in in line with recent shifts to the right throughout Europe. Add Great Britain to the list of western nations with center-right governments amidst discontent with the European social democracy-style welfare states and the high taxes, massive deficits, high unemployment, and stagnant GDP growth. France, Germany, Italy, Sweden, Denmark, the Netherlands, New Zealand, Canada, and now Great Britain, among many others, are trending rightward.

Barring any major surprises, it is safe to say that David Cameron will be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, and the first Conservative to hold the nation's highest office in more than 13 years.

3 comments:

numbeddown said...

“The Tories have not “won” this election: they have simply gained fewer than 50 seats more than the most discredited government in British history. This is a humiliation for the Tories and a grave danger to the country… Everyone in Britain, of whatever political stripe, knows that it did not have to be like this. Any competent leader at the head of a bog-standard, identifiably Tory, real-world Conservative Party would be ensconced in Number 10 today with an overall majority of around 100.”

Cameron and co. should never have become Labour pre-2000.

There are no conservatives in Europe.

http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/geraldwarner/100038625/daves-offer-to-nick-a-peelite-stitch-up-tory-men-and-whig-measures/

numbeddown said...

In their manifesto, the Conservatives promise "to be the greenest government in our history".

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/earth/earthcomment/geoffrey-lean/7726032/David-Camerons-coalition-is-off-to-a-green-start.html

Middle-income families could be more than £3,000 a year worse off under the new coalition Government.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/personalfinance/consumertips/tax/7727656/Coalition-government-take-cover-for-the-3000-tax-bombshell.html

Words have meaning, calling oneself conservative does not equal conservative actions, it means a preference for an illusion that sways the unobservant.

numbeddown said...

More proof that words have meaning. The term 'liberal' was taken over by proggressives in America.

The 'liberal' values of our revolution of limited government and individual freedom(which threw off the oppression of the Tories) then were adopted by those newly calling themselves 'conservatives' in response to the proggressives taking the name 'liberal'. The goal of 'conservatives' was to conserve the good of our founding.

In modern times proggressives run both parties in the US, but the Liberal Democrat" party in formerly great Britain appears to be interested in furthering 'conservative' ie classical liberal values to the Island.

As do the libertarians and Tea Partiers here in the US.

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/clegg-makes-his-bid-for-a-place-in-history-1976426.html

A copy of Blacks Law dictionary is a must.